Tuesday Selections

A summary of the bets for the night is available below. A review will be posted soon after the full time whistles.

Good luck to anyone involved!

BRISTOL CITY (DNB) v Reading 1pt @ 11/10

Burnley v NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1pt @ 21/10

Portsmouth v Peterborough Under 2.5 goals 2pts @ Evens

Forest Green Rovers v NEWPORT COUNTY (DNB) 1pt @ 8/5

Total Outlay: 5 points

Forest Green v Newport Tip

After getting burned when opposing Forest Green once beforethis season, I am going back to the well and taking on Dave Hockaday’s men as they face Newport County at home this evening.

Amazingly, Newport travel to Gloucestershire with just one win under their belts all season – a 4-0 thrashing of Hayes and Yeading at home in their second game of the campaign. Since then, County have not won in nine league games – a run that includes five defeats. However, of those defeats, two were away at teams with playoff aspirations (5-0 at Mansfield and 1-0 at Braintree) while defeats at home to Kidderminster and Cambridge are frustrating more than humiliating.

Since the 5-0 thrashing received at Field Mill, Newport have certainly made changes to improve defensively. Braintree and Stockport were held to single goals as County lost 1-0 away and drew 1-1 at home to those sides, while a last ditch Barrow equaliser in south Wales on Saturday cost Newport all three points in what could have been a 2-1 win. It would be a genuine shock to see County stay at the wrong end of the table for much longer, and the signs of a recovery of sorts are beginning to show through.

Forest Green meanwhile have been most successful when conducting their business away from home. They are unbeaten in six away contests – including some impressive results at Luton (1-1), Cambridge (1-1), Alfreton (6-1) and Tamworth (1-0). However, their home record is not something that should put fear into the hearts of Newport followers. Since Stockport were held 1-1 on the opening night of the season, Braintree (2-0), Grimsby (1-0) and Southport (3-2) have all collected three points. Only bottom club Bath suffered defeat on Rovers’ turf, as they went down 3-0.

That makes the 8/5 available on Newport ‘draw no bet’ a very tasty proposition indeed. Forest Green’s home record is probably a better reflection of their abilities than their away record so far, while the green shoots may just begin to shoot through for Newport after a miserable start to their season.

Suggestion:

Forest Green Rovers v NEWPORT COUNTY – Draw No Bet 1pt @ 8/5 (Coral)

Tuesday Selections

Four games with selections tonight as the Carling Cup and Blue Square Premier take the spotlight on the domestic scene.

BURNLEY (1pt) v MK Dons

UNDER 2.5 (1pt) Aldershot v Rochdale

OVER 3.5 (1pt) Leeds v Man Utd

TAMWORTH (2pts) v Forest Green

An outlay of 5pts on the night, check back this evening for a review of the selections.

Tamworth value in BSP

Luton Town will be the banker bet of many punters in the Blue Square Premier tonight, but instead of taking the Hatters to win at 4/7 at Bath, the real value could lay in trusting Tamworth to pick up all three points at home to Forest Green.

The bookmakers do not seem to have properly responded to the excellent start to the season made by Marcus Law and the Lambs, who lay in 6^th place – 10 places and seven points ahead of their visitors from Gloucestershire. Tamworth have already despatched York (2-1), Darlington (1-0) and Ebbsfleet (1-0) at home this campaign, only being held to a 2-2 draw by Telford on their own patch, in a game where the hosts had built a 2-0 lead. A 2-0 win against the cuckoos from K*ttering last time out was convincing enough to provide yet more security to the idea that Tamworth may find comfort in mid table this season. Ambitious manager Marcus Law will hardly be wanting to rest on his laurels however, and will be desperate to secure three more points on their own turf.

As for the visitors, Forest Green do bring an unbeaten away record with them to the West Midlands. Three 1-1 draws have been secured against Luton, Ebbsfleet and Cambridge – results that are not to be dismissed – alongside a 6-1 thrashing of Alfreton. However, the draw at Luton was the Hatters first game of the season, and a 3-2 home defeat against Southport on Saturday hardly inspires confidence that Rovers will be capable of escaping another relegation dogfight this season. Rovers also provided out of form Grimsby with a 1-0 win in their previous home game, and while they certainly have a chance of gaining a point tonight, Tamworth have put themselves in a class above Forest Green so far this season. Indeed, FGR manager David Hockaday has already highlighted the similarities in style between Southport and Tamworth and has warned his players to bring their ‘tin hats’ for the game this evening.

At a best priced 5/4, Tamworth cannot be ignored tonight and should be able to continue their impressive start to the season.

SUGGESTION:

Tamworth – 2pts win @ 5/4 (Bet365, Victor Chandler)