Stan James

www.stanjames.com

Tuesday 20 September 2011

Tamworth value in BSP

Luton Town will be the banker bet of many punters in the Blue Square Premier tonight, but instead of taking the Hatters to win at 4/7 at Bath, the real value could lay in trusting Tamworth to pick up all three points at home to Forest Green.

The bookmakers do not seem to have properly responded to the excellent start to the season made by Marcus Law and the Lambs, who lay in 6th place – 10 places and seven points ahead of their visitors from Gloucestershire. Tamworth have already despatched York (2-1), Darlington (1-0) and Ebbsfleet (1-0) at home this campaign, only being held to a 2-2 draw by Telford on their own patch, in a game where the hosts had built a 2-0 lead. A 2-0 win against the cuckoos from K*ttering last time out was convincing enough to provide yet more security to the idea that Tamworth may find comfort in mid table this season. Ambitious manager Marcus Law will hardly be wanting to rest on his laurels however, and will be desperate to secure three more points on their own turf.

As for the visitors, Forest Green do bring an unbeaten away record with them to the West Midlands. Three 1-1 draws have been secured against Luton, Ebbsfleet and Cambridge – results that are not to be dismissed – alongside a 6-1 thrashing of Alfreton. However, the draw at Luton was the Hatters first game of the season, and a 3-2 home defeat against Southport on Saturday hardly inspires confidence that Rovers will be capable of escaping another relegation dogfight this season. Rovers also provided out of form Grimsby with a 1-0 win in their previous home game, and while they certainly have a chance of gaining a point tonight, Tamworth have put themselves in a class above Forest Green so far this season. Indeed, FGR manager David Hockaday has already highlighted the similarities in style between Southport and Tamworth and has warned his players to bring their ‘tin hats’ for the game this evening.

At a best priced 5/4, Tamworth cannot be ignored tonight and should be able to continue their impressive start to the season.

SUGGESTION:

Tamworth – 2pts win @ 5/4 (Bet365, Victor Chandler)

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